It’s back to the 90s later this work week.  In the meantime, we’ve got one more day of afternoon highs in the 80s.

There is a slight chance of showers later today under otherwise mostly cloudy skies.  Most folks won’t get rain…those who do will most likely get less than .25″.

Rain chances diminish tonight, and we’ll have a low in the lower 70s.

Then come the 90s.  Check out the 7 DAY FORECAST to see how hot it will become.

Yesterday I posted rain estimates from Saturday night’s thunderstorms.  Click on the image below for Memphis Metro totals.  Speaking of rain, it appears the area will not see any for quite some time.

There were a handful of storm reports from last night’s thunderstorms.  Click on the link below if you are interested.  And don’t forget to check out the Rainfall estimates posted below if you not already have.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=meg&product=LSR&issuedby=MEG

A Tropical Low, which is currently well to our South but closer than yesterday is slowly pinwheeling toward the Mid-South.  This has initiated a few showers and thundershowers but for the most part it’s been a dry afternoon for many.  If it is not raining where you are right now, there is still a possibility before the evening is over.  In fact, there is one band right now that is about to move into part of Shelby county and while it does have a flash or two of lightning it’s signature is rather benign at this moment.

I posted a link below to the National Hurricane Center’s web site which shows a new feature developing in the Caribbean Sea.  You may want to bookmark their site as Hurricane Season 2010 rolls along.  Have a great evening and thank you for reading our blog.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

A Tropical Depression is spinning in the Northern Gulf of Mexico right now.  This feature could play a part in our forecast this week.  Many forecasters are still wondering exactly what will transpire and to be honest with you, the precise location and strength will only be known in a couple of days.  In any event, it will keep conditions from becoming oppressive again with respect to the heat.  It may bring thundershowers to the region by “Hump Day.”

Click on the link below for the very latest from the National Hurricane Center.  It is rather interesting.

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20100816/D9HKI1E00.html

For the first time in what seems like many many days the Mid-South will NOT be under a Heat Warning Monday.  Areas along Interstate 40 and points South will be under a Heat Advisory.  A Heat Advisory still means that heat can be dangerous if one is not cautious.  In essence, it’s a downgrade from a Heat Warning.  A frontal boundary has entered the area and this feature is responsible for killing the warning.  As I glance at Storm Track Doppler 5 right now I do see an isolated thundershower developing in Northeast Arkansas that is moving Southeast.  Additional thundershowers are possible overnight as the front interacts with still very humid air in the region.  Click on the link below for information as to which counties are under the advisory tomorrow.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/meg/

While the Mid-South has been baking for the last several weeks with Triple digit heat one location accustomed to 100 degree temperatures each summer may escape the mark.  Click on the link below for an article I found interesting about Houston, TX weather.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/7152934.html

Our seemingly endless Heat Wave will continue for at least one more day.  Memphis hit 100 degrees today and the heat index topped out at 114 degrees.  While slight relief is on the horizon, dangerous conditions are expected tomorrow.  Look for highs near 100 with the heat index probably exceeding 110 degrees and maybe approaching 115.  Our pattern will change on Monday, when high temperatures in the middle 90s are forecast as opposed to the Triple digits of late.  Click on the link below for the latest public information statement from our National Weather Service.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MEG&product=NPW&issuedby=MEG

Okay so technically meteorologoicaly speaking there is not a “Not as Hot” front.  But this is not a bad way to describe what is occurring right now.  A front is slipping into the area bringing with it more clouds than the last few days and a front that will provide an impetus for possible thunderstorm development this afternoon. 

Click here for the latest Surface map.

http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/currentweatherusnational/index_large.html?from=wxcenter_maps

Many Mid-Southerners are expected to let out a sigh of relief as a few more widespread showers and thundershowers are possible today.

A cold front is expected to arrive from the north and combined with the hot, humid conditions in place, offer our best chance for precipitation this week.

Regardless, afternoon highs and heat indices will peak above 100 degrees across much of the area, especially the southern 2/3rds of the ACTION NEWS 5 coverage area.

The EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING is currently still in effect, meaning we may see heat indices over 110 & maybe even over 115 degrees.

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